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The Real Nature of Politics and Politicians
or
America’s System Works,
But Not the Way You Think!
Michael
I. Rothfeld
President
SABER Communications, Inc.
101 Washington Street
Falmouth, VA 22405
(540) 371-7077
mir@saberinc.net
Few of the lectures I give
on political technology and campaigning make people as agitated as this one.
None is more important.
Simply put, politics is not
about the common good, appealing to men’s better angels, nor serving our Lord.
These may be your motivations. I pray they are mine. Occasionally, they will
be a politician’s motivation.
Politics is the
adjudication of power. It is the process by which people everywhere determine
who rules whom.
In America, through a
brilliant system of rewards and punishments, checks and balances, and diffusion
of authority, we have acquired a habit and history of politics mostly without
violence and excessive corruption.
The good news for you and
me is that the system works.
The bad news is it is hard,
and sometimes unpleasant work, for us to succeed in enacting policy.
There is absolutely no
reason for you to spend your time, talent, and money in politics except for
this: If you do not, laws will be written and regulations enforced by folks
with little or no interest in your well-being.
The following pages may
challenge everything you thought you knew about politics, and everything you
have been told about politics from your high school civics teacher to the lead
editorial writer in your local paper to the politics “expert” at a respected
organization.
But if you read carefully
and understand, you will become capable of leading a successful fight for your
values.
Politicians, Not Education and Not Public Opinion, Make Policy
The first mistake most
folks make when they set out on a good-faith crusade to do good is to completely
misunderstand their targets.
Sometimes, activists make
the local newspaper or media the target. The thinking goes, “If we can just get
them to understand the problem, things will change.” It is fortunate that this
is not correct, because the media in the U.S. is overwhelmingly committed to big
government, gun control, and the supremacy of state-controlled education over
parent controlled education.
The fact is newspapers cast
no votes. The national evening news controls no elections. If this were not
true, Ronald Reagan would never have been President.
An even more common mistake
is to believe that the key to victory is education.
The “education is the key
to political victory” theory claims that if we educate people as to the problem
and the solution, then the elected officials will fall in line.
Wrong.
Polls show huge majorities
of Americans in favor of parental notification before a minor has an abortion.
Yet the mere mention of the issue drives most politicians into fits of terror.
Similarly, three-quarters of the American people oppose forced-unionism and
favor Right to Work laws; however, such laws exist in only 22 states.
It is important to
understand the two reasons why the education theory of politics is a mistake.
First, the theory assumes
no opposing “education” effort. This is rarely the case.
Polls showed a majority in
California favored education choice, yet the 1992 School Voucher Referendum lost
2-1 on election day. Why? Because the NEA-teachers’ union bosses and
pro-government-school-monopoly forces out-organized school choice forces, had a
more focused message, and spent a lot more money.
The second, and more
important, reason the “education is the key” theory fails lies in the nature of
politics and politicians.
Policy in the Margins or Why Grass-Roots Politics Works
What follows is a
generalized breakdown of voting in any given election:
| People |
Percent for Victory
|
| 100%, all people |
50%, plus 1 |
| 70% eligible to vote (excludes aliens, felons, and minors) |
35%, plus 1 |
| 40% registered to vote (approximately 60% of eligible) |
20%, plus 1 |
| 20% vote on election day (50% of registered voters) |
10%, plus 1 |
| 7% almost always vote Republican |
|
| 7% almost always vote Democrat |
|
| 6% swing votes |
3%, plus1 |
Three percent of the
populations plus one voter. Here is where politicians live and die.
In some local and state
elections where turnout may be only 20 percent of registered voters, the margin
may be far less than three percent plus one.
The average politician
lives in constant fear of alienating any substantial portion of this three
percent plus one voter he needs in a hotly contested race to win re-election, or
to gain higher office.
What is the best way not to
alienate these voters? Do nothing to make them mad, which almost always means
... do nothing.
This is why even when new
politicians are elected, little seems to change. Inertia — or the status quo —
is the most potent force in politics.
However, by mobilizing and
directing voters rallying around a specific issue, you can change the political
environment for a politician or even a group of politicians. One relatively
small group can make it more costly for the politician not to act than it is for
him or her to act as you want him to.
This is what I mean when I
say that policy is made at the margins. Over time, the number and effectiveness
of activists determines political success or failure.
This is also why the
homosexual lobby, labor unions, and organized groups so often get legislation
they want. They have groups of voters who can, and will, vote on their issue
alone. And they often have workers and sometimes money to use against any
politician who crosses them.
By becoming a grass-roots
leader, you can, too.
That’s where the fun, and
the danger, begins.
How Politicians React to Pressure
In a better world, you
would mobilize, the politicians would immediately agree to do everything you
want, the policy would be changed, and we would all live happily ever after.
Of course, it rarely
happens that way.
When a provision harmful to
homeschooling parents was located in the 1994 Education Bill (H.R.6), Mike
Farris’ Home School Legal Defense Association directed some one million calls
and letters to Congress in a three-week period. The amendment to strip out the
offending language passed the U.S. House of Representatives 434-1. Another
amendment by Representative Dick Armey (R-TX) to positively protect home schoolers passed 374-53.
It was a rout.
The rout occurred not just
because the home schooling community was so mobilized (though they were) but
because they were mobilized for a very specific purpose, to which there was
virtually no organized opposition.
It was an easy decision for
members of the House of Representatives.
This is not the case for
most controversial issues. It is certainly not true for any legislation
relating to the right to keep and bear arms or abortion or right to work.
So how will a politician
react to your organized pressure when he knows there is or is certain to be,
organized pressure against your position?
The first thing the
politician will do is try to make you go away without giving you anything of
substance. If he gives you anything of substance, then those organized on the
other side will be mad.
So most politicians will
try to make you quit by intimidation, explanation, or buying you off.
Many politicians —
especially those used to being treated like royalty rather than public servants
— may try to threaten and intimidate. Statements such as, “If you ever try
something like this again, I’ll vote against you for sure,” or “I’ll tell the
newspaper you’re a trouble-maker” are not uncommon. A rudely spoken, “I don’t
know who you think you are, but that’s not how we do things here, and no one
will work with you again” followed by a slammed-down phone receiver is another
favorite.
Remember, you are not
running for office. The politician is. Then remember the three percent plus
one voter margin, and double your efforts to mobilize.
Before long, even this
politician will go to a new tactic.
Most likely, a politician
(whether or not intimidation is attempted) will seek to placate you by
“explaining” what he or she calls “the political reality.” Sometimes the
explanation may be made by a surrogate for the politician; a member of his
staff, a lobbyist or even, in many cases, a well-known advocate for your issue.
The message usually takes
the basic form of, “I’ve been doing this for a long time and believe me, I share
your concerns but we just can’t pass that bill right now,” or “even if we could
pass what your people want, the Governor (or President or a judge) will kill
it,” or “It’s the best we could do,” or simply “We’ll lose.”
First of all, so what?
Rome was not built in a day, nor is major policy passed overnight. Sometimes it
may take years. But policy will never change if politicians never vote on it.
Policy is changed one vote
— one politician — at a time.
Second of all, the reason
this is often true is that politicians succeed in ducking difficult votes, thus
preventing voters from ever knowing exactly where they stand.
Your job as a grassroots
leader is to convey to the politician your supporters’ insistence on his or her
personal, public and on-the-record support for your position.
Of course, you do want to
pass your legislation (or defeat your opponent’s legislation), but first and
foremost, you want the politician’s complete public support. As an aside, a
commitment in writing is better than a verbal commitment, and a vote on the most
controversial piece of the bill (not necessarily final passage) is better than a
written commitment.
Private promises are
worthless.
When you have insisted on
the politician’s support for your position, they will then try to buy you off.
Here is where the best grass-roots leaders fail.
Power and Access and Selling Out
Politics can be seductive.
The chance to rub elbows
with elected officials, being looked up to by people in your community as
someone in the know, invitations to and recognition at special events, being
quoted in the media, helping to write “acceptable” compromise language, an
appointment to some committee or task force, or even a paid job in the
politician's office or campaign -- all this could be yours if you become a
grassroots leader. These are the trinkets for which leaders sell out their
political agenda.
Of course, most everyone
thinks he is strong enough, smart enough, and committed enough not to sell out.
Few people are.
Before long, instead of
delivering to the politician the grassroots’ message to pass or defeat specific
legislation, you become the politician’s representative, telling grass-roots
activists what they must settle for.
Right now, today, decide
whether you want access or power.
Access is calling a
politician and having him take your call. He listens to what you want, and may
or may not do it. It is what most grassroots leaders end up settling for. This
is the way most non-controversial (e.g. business accounting before Enron) and
high-interest versus low-opposition (e.g. farm subsidies) political business is
done.
Power is the ability to
tell a politician what you want, and either get it or deliver substantial pain
(maybe even get a new politician) at the next election. This is the ONLY way
ideological, controversial legislation can be passed or defeated (e.g. abortion,
guns or homosexual special rights).
Again, I urge you to
remember the three percent plus one voter.
You and your grassroots
group may be able to single-handedly bring the politician down. Or perhaps you
will be one of a handful of groups organizing at the next election.
No matter what, you will
make it harder for the politician to win re-election, costing him extra time and
money.
If the politician loses,
every other elected official will fear you and your group.
If the politician wins, he
(and other politicians) will remember the extra pain you caused him. And he
will know you may do it again or worse. When you return to continue fighting
for what you believe in, you will find him and his colleagues more willing ...
and surprisingly, sometimes more gracious (though do not count on the latter;
personal pleasantness is cheap coin).
As the late Everett Dirksen
said, “When I feel the heat, I see the light.”
Winning in the Long Run
There is a great deal more
I could tell you.
** How to recruit for your grassroots
organization.
** How best to communicate with politicians.
** The differences between offensive and
defensive legislative strategies.
** Choosing a leader who is an elected
official (Hint: Be very careful).
** When and how to use the media.
** The best ways to raise money for the
short-term and the long-term.
But what I would like to
close with is the importance of taking a long-term approach to fighting for your
values.
If you remember from the
beginning of this article, I said the good news is that the system works.
I hope by now you see what
I mean. Namely, the politicians are still subservient to the people who elected
them ... to you and me.
However, most of the time,
a fight to really make a difference may take years. This is especially true the
further from local politics you get.
It’s true Mike Farris and
the Home School Legal Defense Foundation won the battle for home schoolers in
the U.S. Congress in just a few weeks as described above. But Mike Farris spent
years building his organization of home schoolers. More importantly, as I
noted, there was little or no opposition to the mobilized home schooling force.
Since then, in fights to
pass any kind of school choice -- much more, a full tax credit -- the results
have been very different. In fact, President George W. Bush easily abandoned
the conservative opposition to federalized education and passed the No Child
Left Behind Act with overwhelming Republican support. The size and
effectiveness of the advocates of bigger government schools dwarfs those of
us who are committed to school choice.
When you first start out,
expect not to be taken seriously; especially if you insist upon principle and
refuse to compromise or to be bought off.
The key will be for you and
your grassroots activists to aggressively make politicians pay a price for their
failure to pay attention to their constituents (you and your group). Every
year, every session of the legislature, you must return pushing for your
principles. And every election, you must cause pain to as many politicians as
possible; starting with those who claim to support your cause, but vote and act
in opposition.
At the same time, you
should be continually recruiting more members, raising more money, and expanding
the areas in which you are active.
By doing this, you can win
in the long run.
E-mail us at RMGO.org
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